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Crown Green Handicap

Daniel O

Team: Heswall Rbl BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

853

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

12

Matches Played

3

Wins

9

Losses

25%

Win Rate

4.7

Avg Win Margin

6.6

Avg Loss Margin

0-6

Home Record

3-3

Away Record

13%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
12 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/4/2021

Only 12 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 12 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

2 Jun10 Jun17 Jun1 Jul20 Jul4 Aug-13714

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.17
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
4.7
score-0.56→contribution-0.13
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.6
score+0.24→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
943
score-0.57→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.411
Sample Size Confidence
13%(12/33 matches)
Rating836 → shrunk 978→ adjusted 853
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W9L12 matches·25% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall Rbl B2021Division B123925%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2021vs Arno TixallA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
8/3/2021Katrina LockwoodH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/20/2021Richard DaviesH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/8/2021Michael HuddartA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
7/1/2021Roy BrannonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
6/22/2021Ray PenkethH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/17/2021Alan PophamA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
6/15/2021Adrian CairnsH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
6/10/2021Steve OreillyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/8/2021Dee ButlerH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
6/2/2021vs Oxton Cons CA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
5/25/2021Phil GordonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1030% win rate↑ improving
WLLLWLLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Arno Tixall101100%8/4/2021
Katrina Lockwood0110%8/3/2021
Richard Davies0110%7/20/2021
Michael Huddart0110%7/8/2021
Roy Brannon101100%7/1/2021
Ray Penketh0110%6/22/2021
Alan Popham0110%6/17/2021
Adrian Cairns0110%6/15/2021
Steve Oreilly101100%6/10/2021
Dee Butler0110%6/8/2021
Biggest Win
Unknown (+7)8/4/2021
Heaviest Defeat
Michael Huddart (-14)7/8/2021
Best Season
202125% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202125% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
17% → 33%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
9249 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-433% win rate
Division B25%
3W·9L·12 played

Debut

May 25, 2021

Latest

Aug 4, 2021

Seasons Active

1 (2 mo span)

Matches / Season

12.0 (12 total)

Seasons

2021